|
Based on
the implied volatility of S&P 500, the 68% probability trading ranges
for the index is:
For the next 7
days until 9/7, the range is between 1092.29 and 1216.24.
For the next
20 days until 9/30, the range is between 1049.69 and 1258.96.
Last Update: September
9, 2011 9:30 pm New York Time
| |
S&P
500 |
|
HV= Historic
Volatility |
|
VIX |
|
VIX to HV
Ratios |
|
| Date |
(Close) |
HV
(10-day) |
HV
(20-day) |
HV (30-day) |
(Close) |
VIX/HV(10) |
VIX /HV(20) |
VIX/
HV(30) |
| 9/9/2011 |
1154.23 |
31.4342 |
32.5111 |
43.3733 |
38.5200 |
1.2254 |
1.1848 |
0.8881 |
| 9/8/2011 |
1185.90 |
29.1722 |
34.8118 |
42.8174 |
34.3700 |
1.1782 |
0.9873 |
0.8027 |
| 9/7/2011 |
1198.62 |
29.0114 |
38.5379 |
43.0614 |
33.3800 |
1.1506 |
0.8662 |
0.7752 |
| 9/6/2011 |
1165.24 |
30.4343 |
40.6997 |
41.9956 |
37.0000 |
1.2157 |
0.9091 |
0.8810 |
| 9/2/2011 |
1173.97 |
29.8889 |
47.8266 |
41.9882 |
33.9200 |
1.1349 |
0.7092 |
0.8078 |
| 9/1/2011 |
1204.42 |
27.2932 |
46.9405 |
41.5326 |
31.8200 |
1.1659 |
0.6779 |
0.7661 |
| 8/31/2011 |
1218.89 |
36.8580 |
49.9564 |
41.7437 |
31.6200 |
0.8579 |
0.6330 |
0.7575 |
| 8/30/2011 |
1212.92 |
36.8263 |
49.9580 |
41.6854 |
32.8900 |
0.8931 |
0.6584 |
0.7890 |
| 8/29/2011 |
1210.08 |
37.2655 |
50.6576 |
42.0306 |
32.2800 |
0.8662 |
0.6372 |
0.7680 |
| 8/26/2011 |
1176.80 |
36.0766 |
49.3189 |
41.0508 |
35.5900 |
0.9865 |
0.7216 |
0.8670 |
| 8/25/2011 |
1159.27 |
35.2499 |
48.7679 |
40.7660 |
39.7600 |
1.1279 |
0.8153 |
0.9753 |
| 8/24/2011 |
1177.60 |
41.0138 |
48.6316 |
40.6262 |
35.9000 |
0.8753 |
0.7382 |
0.8837 |
| 8/23/2011 |
1162.35 |
47.6646 |
48.4272 |
40.3708 |
36.2700 |
0.7609 |
0.7490 |
0.8984 |
| 8/22/2011 |
1123.82 |
50.5581 |
46.0316 |
38.7493 |
42.4400 |
0.8394 |
0.9220 |
1.0952 |
| 8/19/2011 |
1123.53 |
61.3881 |
45.9266 |
38.8877 |
43.0500 |
0.7013 |
0.9374 |
1.1070 |
| 8/18/2011 |
1140.65 |
61.2523 |
45.9955 |
38.7927 |
42.6700 |
0.6966 |
0.9277 |
1.1000 |
| 8/17/2011 |
1193.89 |
61.8994 |
44.3718 |
37.1457 |
31.5800 |
0.5102 |
0.7117 |
0.8502 |
| 8/16/2011 |
1192.76 |
62.0495 |
44.3456 |
37.1463 |
32.8500 |
0.5294 |
0.7408 |
0.8843 |
| 8/15/2011 |
1204.49 |
62.9169 |
44.9525 |
37.1092 |
31.8700 |
0.5065 |
0.7090 |
0.8588 |
| 8/12/2011 |
1178.81 |
60.9882 |
43.9362 |
36.7410 |
36.3600 |
0.5962 |
0.8276 |
0.9896 |
| 8/11/2011 |
1172.64 |
60.4931 |
43.9458 |
36.8704 |
39.0000 |
0.6447 |
0.8875 |
1.0578 |
| 8/10/2011 |
1120.76 |
52.3623 |
39.6480 |
34.0606 |
42.9900 |
0.8210 |
1.0843 |
1.2622 |
| 8/9/2011 |
1172.53 |
49.8157 |
37.2956 |
32.1955 |
35.0600 |
0.7038 |
0.9401 |
1.0890 |
| 8/8/2011 |
1119.46 |
38.1373 |
31.8662 |
28.8876 |
48.0000 |
1.2586 |
1.5063 |
1.6616 |
| 8/5/2011 |
1199.38 |
25.5026 |
22.8576 |
21.5703 |
32.0000 |
1.2548 |
1.4000 |
1.4835 |
| 8/4/2011 |
1200.07 |
25.6900 |
22.7806 |
21.5649 |
31.6600 |
1.2324 |
1.3898 |
1.4681 |
| 8/3/2011 |
1260.34 |
18.0213 |
16.9133 |
16.4945 |
23.3800 |
1.2974 |
1.3823 |
1.4174 |
| 8/2/2011 |
1254.05 |
17.3460 |
16.7195 |
16.9254 |
24.7900 |
1.4291 |
1.4827 |
1.4647 |
| 8/1/2011 |
1286.94 |
16.4214 |
14.4208 |
15.2115 |
23.6600 |
1.4408 |
1.6407 |
1.5554 |
| 7/29/2011 |
1292.28 |
16.7288 |
15.5049 |
15.1674 |
25.2500 |
1.5094 |
1.6285 |
1.6647 |
| 7/28/2011 |
1300.67 |
16.8815 |
15.8505 |
15.0189 |
23.7400 |
1.4063 |
1.4977 |
1.5807 |
| 7/27/2011 |
1304.89 |
17.1227 |
16.0868 |
15.9127 |
22.9800 |
1.3421 |
1.4285 |
1.4441 |
| 7/26/2011 |
1331.94 |
13.2411 |
14.6527 |
14.9868 |
20.2300 |
1.5278 |
1.3806 |
1.3499 |
| 7/25/2011 |
1337.43 |
13.2804 |
14.6765 |
14.8939 |
19.3500 |
1.4570 |
1.3184 |
1.2992 |
| 7/22/2011 |
1345.02 |
16.3036 |
15.2861 |
15.4450 |
17.5200 |
1.0746 |
1.1461 |
1.1343 |
| 7/21/2011 |
1343.80 |
16.6702 |
15.3898 |
15.5391 |
17.5600 |
1.0534 |
1.1410 |
1.1301 |
| 7/20/2011 |
1325.84 |
16.0009 |
15.0724 |
15.2108 |
19.0900 |
1.1931 |
1.2665 |
1.2550 |
| 7/19/2011 |
1326.73 |
16.0326 |
15.6558 |
15.2138 |
19.2100 |
1.1982 |
1.2270 |
1.2627 |
| 7/18/2011 |
1305.44 |
12.9411 |
14.7912 |
14.8874 |
20.9500 |
1.6189 |
1.4164 |
1.4072 |
| 7/15/2011 |
1316.14 |
14.9853 |
14.3673 |
14.9729 |
19.5300 |
1.3033 |
1.3593 |
1.3044 |
| 7/14/2011 |
1308.87 |
15.6411 |
14.3020 |
14.8868 |
20.8000 |
1.3298 |
1.4543 |
1.3972 |
| 7/13/2011 |
1317.72 |
15.6126 |
15.6083 |
16.2065 |
19.9100 |
1.2752 |
1.2756 |
1.2285 |
| 7/12/2011 |
1313.64 |
16.6105 |
16.1158 |
16.4983 |
19.8700 |
1.1962 |
1.2329 |
1.2044 |
| 7/11/2011 |
1319.49 |
16.3993 |
15.9623 |
16.5033 |
18.3900 |
1.1214 |
1.1521 |
1.1143 |
| 7/8/2011 |
1343.80 |
14.1113 |
15.3195 |
15.6181 |
15.9500 |
1.1303 |
1.0412 |
1.0212 |
| 7/7/2011 |
1353.22 |
13.2872 |
15.0367 |
15.4672 |
15.9500 |
1.2004 |
1.0607 |
1.0312 |
| 7/6/2011 |
1339.22 |
14.0507 |
14.9504 |
15.2095 |
16.3400 |
1.1629 |
1.0929 |
1.0743 |
| 7/5/2011 |
1337.88 |
14.8241 |
14.9850 |
15.6365 |
16.0600 |
1.0834 |
1.0717 |
1.0271 |
| 7/1/2011 |
1339.67 |
14.4560 |
15.6268 |
15.7965 |
15.8700 |
1.0978 |
1.0156 |
1.004 |
|